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Markets & Signals · New episodes on Mondays
Before It Was News
Sometimes the odds move hours before the headline does. Each week, two hosts take one prediction-market chart and go through it minute by minute, like a crime-scene timeline: what was public at each moment, who could have known, and whether the crowd was smart, tipped off or just wrong. It's a show about how knowledge actually travels, not about who won. Every claim checked using FactUnion's fact-checking process; every source is in the episode notes.
Made by WovenPod. Hosted by Nadia and Miles, performed by synthetic voices. Sources are in every episode's notes.
FactUnion VerifiedEvery episode's facts were checked against their sources. What this means
Supported by STELQ
Episodes
Newest first-
Egypt Outdrew Spain: When the Volume Chart Lies
A World Cup longshot that never cleared half a percent drew more trading volume than the champion, and the most trusted number on the screen turns out to be the least checked.
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The Deal That Never Happened
A prediction market said Ukraine signed a minerals deal it never signed, and the price was never the problem. This episode follows who gets to decide what happened, and why an audit that clears them can't actually clear them.
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The Night Oslo Leaked, and the Night It Didn't
Two Nobel Peace Prize nights, two identical overnight spikes on Polymarket: one led investigators to a probable hack, the other pointed at nothing.
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